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Investigate the effect of false positives on probability calculation with an activity that asks scholars to collect simulated data generated by a calculator. To finish, participants analyze the probability of certain outcomes which lead to the discovery of Bayes Theorem.
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CCSS:
Designed
Concepts
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Instructional Ideas
- Define key vocabulary and notation before beginning the activity
- Utilize the extension for early finishers
Classroom Considerations
- Learners should have a basic understanding of conditional probabilities prior to the lesson
Pros
- Activity uses questioning to lead pupils to discover desired concepts
- Includes detailed answer keys
Cons
- None